GOLDEN GLOBE PREDICTIONS 2015!
This is just a straightforward list of predictions for the eleven major film awards! I will make my should win/could win predictions once it gets closer to the actual Oscar night, but since Oscar tends to stick fairly close to the Foreign Press, I'll save it for later. For now, I'm going to predict who's taking the gold home, and how this will determine the Academy Awards! A full list of the nominees HERE.
BEST ANIMATED MOVIE:
Nominees: (Big Hero 6, How to Train Your Dragon 2, The Lego Movie, The Boxtrolls, The Book of Life)
Winner: This isn't because it was my second favorite movie of the year, but I honestly believe that if any movie but Lego wins it will be an upset. I love HTTYD2, but this seems like the frontrunner.
BEST SCREENPLAY:
Nominees: (The Imitation Game, Gone Girl, The Grand Budapest Hotel, Birdman, Boyhood)
Winner: This is actually one of the toughest races to call! There's no clear winner here, no Aaron Sorkin or Woody Allen script to fall back on. Though Birdman and Boyhood are the creative picks, I think the Press will reward Gillian Flynn with a riveting translation of her book Gone Girl to the screen.
BEST DIRECTOR:
Nominees: (Wes Anderson, Richard Linklater, David Fincher, Ava DuVernay, Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu)
Winner: Birdman will do good damage in the comedy field, but with Linklater's dozen years of putting in work it'd be hard not to rightfully give him the trophy.
COMEDY/MUSICAL
FILM:
Nominees: (Pride, St. Vincent, Birdman, The Grand Budapest Hotel, Into the Woods)
Winner: This competition has a clear winner: Birdman. Its only close competition would be Budapest, if just to reward Wes Anderson's zaniness.
ACTOR:
Nominees: (Michael Keaton, Christoph Waltz, Ralph Fiennes, Joaquin Phoenix, Bill Murray)
Winner: Since he's the presumed frontrunner for the Oscars, it has to be Keaton, though Fiennes just got a Best Actor BAFTA nomination, and could be a very very dark horse.
ACTRESS:
Nominees: (Emily Blunt, Julianne Moore, Amy Adams, Quvenzhane Wallis, Helen Mirren)
Winner: This has to be the toughest race to call. Adams won this award last year, Moore could pull the Kate Winslet double win, and, for my money, Blunt had the best performance. Then again, she was the only performance I saw. I think I'm giving it to the latter though, because she balanced the comedy and musical aspects of her role as the baker's wife very well.
DRAMA
FILM:
Nominees: (The Imitation Game, Boyhood, The Theory of Everything, Selma, Foxcatcher)
Winner: Though there are strong biopics about a lot of famous men here, the one that has struck the chords of so many American audiences will be the victor: Boyhood's taking home at least three trophies tomorrow night.
ACTOR:
Nominees: (Jake Gyllenhaal, David Oyelowo, Benedict Cumberbatch, Steve Carrell, Eddie Redmayne)
Winner: Another close, close race. Gyllenhaal has elevated from dark horse to serious candidate for an Oscar nomination, but due to the physical aspects of Redmayne's performance that made you double over when you realized it wasn't Hawking onscreen, I'm going to give it to him.
ACTRESS:
Nominees: (Julianne Moore, Reese Witherspoon, Jennifer Aniston, Felicity Jones, Rosamund Pike)
Winner: Amy Dunne herself, Rosamund Pike, has gotten a lot of traction for her performance ever since Gone Girl wowed us back in October, but has a combination of great role/career reward I think Still Alice is the movie Moore will win for.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Nominees: (Edward Norton, J.K. Simmons, Mark Ruffalo, Robert Duvall, Ethan Hawke)
Winner: These five gentleman have been up for everything but the Oscar nominations this awards season, and it really boils down to Norton v. Simmons. After being bowled over by both, I'm going to give the slightest edge to Simmons, whose veteran status might elevate his chances.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
Nominees: (Meryl Streep, Keira Knightley, Emma Stone, Patricia Arquette, Jessica Chastain)
Winner: I'm so happy to say that Patricia Arquette is the frontrunner in this category. Her role as the mother was very lived-in, as I heard one critic describe it as. Nothing flashy, just dealing with drunk husbands and making sure her kids get to college...even though she might not want that for herself. The only upset I can see is Streep, only because...she's Streep.
BEST ANIMATED MOVIE:
Nominees: (Big Hero 6, How to Train Your Dragon 2, The Lego Movie, The Boxtrolls, The Book of Life)
Winner: This isn't because it was my second favorite movie of the year, but I honestly believe that if any movie but Lego wins it will be an upset. I love HTTYD2, but this seems like the frontrunner.
BEST SCREENPLAY:
Nominees: (The Imitation Game, Gone Girl, The Grand Budapest Hotel, Birdman, Boyhood)
Winner: This is actually one of the toughest races to call! There's no clear winner here, no Aaron Sorkin or Woody Allen script to fall back on. Though Birdman and Boyhood are the creative picks, I think the Press will reward Gillian Flynn with a riveting translation of her book Gone Girl to the screen.
BEST DIRECTOR:
Nominees: (Wes Anderson, Richard Linklater, David Fincher, Ava DuVernay, Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu)
Winner: Birdman will do good damage in the comedy field, but with Linklater's dozen years of putting in work it'd be hard not to rightfully give him the trophy.
COMEDY/MUSICAL
FILM:
Nominees: (Pride, St. Vincent, Birdman, The Grand Budapest Hotel, Into the Woods)
Winner: This competition has a clear winner: Birdman. Its only close competition would be Budapest, if just to reward Wes Anderson's zaniness.
ACTOR:
Nominees: (Michael Keaton, Christoph Waltz, Ralph Fiennes, Joaquin Phoenix, Bill Murray)
Winner: Since he's the presumed frontrunner for the Oscars, it has to be Keaton, though Fiennes just got a Best Actor BAFTA nomination, and could be a very very dark horse.
ACTRESS:
Nominees: (Emily Blunt, Julianne Moore, Amy Adams, Quvenzhane Wallis, Helen Mirren)
Winner: This has to be the toughest race to call. Adams won this award last year, Moore could pull the Kate Winslet double win, and, for my money, Blunt had the best performance. Then again, she was the only performance I saw. I think I'm giving it to the latter though, because she balanced the comedy and musical aspects of her role as the baker's wife very well.
DRAMA
FILM:
Nominees: (The Imitation Game, Boyhood, The Theory of Everything, Selma, Foxcatcher)
Winner: Though there are strong biopics about a lot of famous men here, the one that has struck the chords of so many American audiences will be the victor: Boyhood's taking home at least three trophies tomorrow night.
ACTOR:
Nominees: (Jake Gyllenhaal, David Oyelowo, Benedict Cumberbatch, Steve Carrell, Eddie Redmayne)
Winner: Another close, close race. Gyllenhaal has elevated from dark horse to serious candidate for an Oscar nomination, but due to the physical aspects of Redmayne's performance that made you double over when you realized it wasn't Hawking onscreen, I'm going to give it to him.
ACTRESS:
Nominees: (Julianne Moore, Reese Witherspoon, Jennifer Aniston, Felicity Jones, Rosamund Pike)
Winner: Amy Dunne herself, Rosamund Pike, has gotten a lot of traction for her performance ever since Gone Girl wowed us back in October, but has a combination of great role/career reward I think Still Alice is the movie Moore will win for.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Nominees: (Edward Norton, J.K. Simmons, Mark Ruffalo, Robert Duvall, Ethan Hawke)
Winner: These five gentleman have been up for everything but the Oscar nominations this awards season, and it really boils down to Norton v. Simmons. After being bowled over by both, I'm going to give the slightest edge to Simmons, whose veteran status might elevate his chances.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
Nominees: (Meryl Streep, Keira Knightley, Emma Stone, Patricia Arquette, Jessica Chastain)
Winner: I'm so happy to say that Patricia Arquette is the frontrunner in this category. Her role as the mother was very lived-in, as I heard one critic describe it as. Nothing flashy, just dealing with drunk husbands and making sure her kids get to college...even though she might not want that for herself. The only upset I can see is Streep, only because...she's Streep.
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